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Question

Bag A contains 4 green and 3 red balls and bag B contains 4 red and 3 green balls. One bag is taken at random and a ball is drawn and noted it is green. The probability that it comes from bag B is


A

2/7

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B

2/3

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C

3/7

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D

1/3

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Solution

The correct option is C

3/7


It is based on Baye's theorem.

probability of picked bag A P(A)=12

probability of picked bag B P(B)=12

probability of green ball picked from bag A

=P(A).P(GA)=12× 47=27

probability of green ball picked from bag B

=P(B).P(GB)=12× 37=314

total probability of green ball =27+314=12

probability of fact that green ball is drawn from bag B

P(GB)=P(B)P(GB)P(A)P(GA)+P(B)P(GB)=12×3712×47+12×37=37


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